- 사건 당 시간을 알고자 할 때 쓴다.
- 모수 \lambda
지수분포
\begin{align*}
X &\sim exp(\lambda) \\\\
f_{X}(x) &= \lambda e^{-\lambda x}, ~I(0<x)
\end{align*}
확률함수 조건 확인
\begin{align*}
P~(-\infty \le X \le \infty) &=
\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}f_X(x)dx
=
\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}
\lambda e^{-\lambda x}~
I(0 < x)~dx
\\[20pt]
&=-e^{-\lambda x}
\biggr\rvert_{0}^{\infty} = 0+1 = 1
\end{align*}
1차 적률 = 평균
\begin{align*}
E(X) &=
\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}
x\cdot f_X(x)~dx =
\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}
x\cdot\lambda e^{-\lambda x}
~I(0 < x)~dx
\\[20pt]
&= -xe^{-\lambda x}~
\bigg\rvert_{0}^{\infty}
~+~
\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}
e^{-\lambda x}~dx
\\[20pt]
&= \Bigg(
\lim\limits_{x \to \infty}
\dfrac{x}{e^{\lambda x}}
- 0 \Bigg)
~+~
-\dfrac{1}{\lambda}~
e^{-\lambda x}~
\bigg\rvert_{0}^{\infty}
\\[20pt]
&=
\lim\limits_{x \to \infty}
\dfrac{1}{\lambda e^{\lambda x}}
+ \dfrac{1}{\lambda}
\\[20pt]
&= \dfrac{1}{\lambda}
\end{align*}
2차 적률과 분산
\begin{align*}
E(X^2) &=
\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}
x^2\cdot f_X(x)~dx =
\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}
x^2\cdot\lambda e^{-\lambda x}
~I(0 < x)~dx
\\[20pt]
&= -x^2e^{-\lambda x}~
\bigg\rvert_{0}^{\infty}
~+~
\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}
2xe^{-\lambda x}~dx
\\[20pt]
&=
\lim\limits_{x \to \infty}
\dfrac{-x^2}
{e^{-\lambda x}}
~+~ \dfrac
{2}{\lambda}~
\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}
xe^{-\lambda x}~dx
\\[20pt]
&=
\lim\limits_{x \to \infty}
\dfrac{-2x}
{\lambda e^{-\lambda x}}
+
\dfrac{2}{\lambda}
\cdot
\dfrac{1}{\lambda}
\\[20pt]
&= \dfrac{2}{\lambda^2}
\end{align*}
\begin{align*}
Var(X) &= E(X^2) - E(X^2)
\\[10pt]
&= \dfrac{2}{\lambda^2} -
\bigg(
\dfrac{1}{\lambda}
\bigg)^2
\\[15pt]
&= \dfrac{1}{\lambda^2}
\end{align*}
MGF
\begin{align*}
M_X(x) &=
\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}
e^{tx}\cdot f_X(x)~dx =
\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}
e^{tx}\cdot
\lambda e^{-\lambda x}
~dx
\\[20pt]
&= \lambda\cdot
\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}~
e^{-(\lambda-t)x}~dx
\\[20pt]
&=
\dfrac{\lambda}{\lambda-t}
\cdot
\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}~
(\lambda-t)
e^{-(\lambda-t)x}~dx
\\[20pt]
&= \dfrac{\lambda}{\lambda-t}
~=~\dfrac{\lambda-t}{\lambda}
\\[20pt]
M_X(x) &= \bigg(
1 - \dfrac{t}{\lambda}
\bigg)^{-1}
\end{align*}
logMGF
\begin{align*}
M_X(x) &= \bigg(
1 - \dfrac{t}{\lambda}
\bigg)^{-1}
\\[20pt]
\log M_X(x) &= -\log\bigg(
1 - \dfrac{t}{\lambda}
\bigg)
= -\log(t - \lambda) + \log(\lambda)
\\[20pt]
\dfrac{d}{dt}~\log M_X(x) &=
~\dfrac{1}{\lambda-t}
~\biggr\rvert_{t=0} =
\dfrac{1}{\lambda}
\\[20pt]
\dfrac{d^2}{dt^2}~\log M_X(x) &=
~\dfrac{1}{(\lambda-t)^2}
~\biggr\rvert_{t=0} =
\dfrac{1}{\lambda^2}
\end{align*}
책에 따라서는 정의를 다음과 같이 쓸 때도 있다.
\begin{align*}
X &\sim exp(\dfrac{1}{\theta}) \\\\
f_{X}(x) &= \lambda e^{-\lambda x}, ~I(0<x)
\end{align*}