베르누이 분포
- 1번 시도 할 때 성공할 확률
\begin{align*}
P(X=x) &= p^x(1-p)^{1-x}.\;
\ I(x \in [0,1]),
\ 0<p<1
\\[8pt]
M_{X}(t) &= (1-p)+pe^t \\[5pt]
\mu &= p \\[5pt]
\sigma &= p(1-p)\\
\end{align*}
1차 적률
\begin{align*}
E(X)
&= \displaystyle\sum_{x}~xP(X=x)
\\[15pt]
&= \displaystyle\sum_{x=0}^{1}~
p^x(1-p)^{1-x}\;~I(x \in \{0, 1\})
\\[15pt]
&= 0 + 1~\cdot~p^{1}(1-p)^{1-1}
\\[10pt]
&= p
\end{align*}
2차 적률과 분산
\begin{align*}
E(X^2)
&= \displaystyle\sum_{x}~x^2P(X=x)
\\[15pt]
&= \displaystyle\sum_{x}~x^2
\cdot p^x(1-p)^{1-x}~
~I\big(x \in \{0, 1\}\big)
\\[15pt]
&= p
\end{align*}
\begin{align*}
Var(X) &= E(X-E(X))^2
= \sum_{x}~\{x - E(X)\}^2~P(X=x)
\\[15pt]
&= \sum_{x=0}^{1}~\{x-E(X)\}^2~
p^x~(1-p)^{1-x}
\\[15pt]
&= \sum_{x=0}^{1}~\{x-p\}^2~
p^x~(1-p)^{1-x}
\\[15pt]
&= p^2\cdot p^0\cdot(1-p)^{1-0}~+~
(1-p)^{2}\cdot p^0\cdot(1-p)^{1-1}
\\[15pt]
&= p^2\cdot(1-p) +
(1-p)^{2}\cdot p
\\[15pt]
&= p~(1-p)
\end{align*}
\begin{align*}
Var(X) &= E(X^2) - \{E(X)\}^2
= p-p^2
= p(1-p)
\end{align*}
MGF
- 정의
\begin{align*}
M_X(t) &= \sum_{x}~e^{tx}~P(X=x)
= \sum_{x=0}^{1}
~e^{tx}~p^x(1-p)^{1-x}
\\[15pt]
&= 1-p + e^{t}p
\end{align*}
- 미분
\dfrac{d}{dt}~
M_X(t)~\biggr\rvert_{t = 0}~
=~
pe^t~\biggr\rvert_{t = 0}~
=~
p~
=~ E(X)
\\[20pt]
\dfrac{d^2}{d^2t}~
M_X(t)~\biggr\rvert_{t = 0}~
=~
pe^t~\biggr\rvert_{t = 0}~
=~
p~
=~ E(X^2)